iGaming Analytics–Driven Churn Prediction for a Global Bookmaking Company

About Client

The client is a globally recognized iGaming operator headquartered in the United Kingdom, with a strong presence across Europe, Asia, and other regulated markets. Their portfolio spans sportsbook, casino, and digital gaming channels, supported by both online and offline touchpoints. With millions of active players and high competitive pressure, even marginal improvements in retention have a meaningful impact on revenue and profitability.

Background

Player acquisition in the iGaming industry is expensive and increasingly competitive. Operators must navigate regulatory requirements, ensure seamless KYC and payment verification, and deliver a consistently engaging experience across devices and channels. Despite these efforts, a large percentage of players drop off at various stages—during onboarding, after initial deposits, or following short periods of inactivity.

Retaining players is therefore a critical business metric. However, effective retention requires more than generic bonuses or mass campaigns. It depends on understanding individual player behavior, identifying early churn signals, and delivering personalized interventions at the right time.

Modern iGaming analytics enables operators to analyze behavioral, transactional, and engagement data at scale. When combined with machine learning, this data can reveal patterns that are not visible through traditional reporting. For the client, the goal was to move beyond descriptive analytics and adopt a predictive approach that could actively guide retention and CRM strategies.

Challenge

The client faced several interconnected challenges:

  • High player churn rates: A significant portion of players disengaged shortly after onboarding or during early stages of activity, reducing lifetime value and increasing reliance on costly acquisition.
  • Limited early visibility into player value: The organization lacked reliable methods to identify high-potential and VIP players early in their lifecycle, resulting in missed opportunities for targeted retention.
  • Siloed analytics and CRM execution: While player data existed across systems, insights were not seamlessly integrated into CRM workflows. This made it difficult to run effective campaigns or measure marketing efficiency.
  • Need for scalable personalization: With millions of players across markets, manual segmentation and rule-based targeting were no longer sufficient.

The client required a solution that combined predictive analytics iGaming CRM integration with operational usability for marketing and retention teams.

Our Solution

We designed and implemented a churn prediction framework grounded in advanced iGaming analytics and machine learning. Key elements of the solution included:

  • Identification of predictive variables: Domain-specific player signals—such as gameplay frequency, deposit patterns, session duration, bonus usage, inactivity windows, and channel behavior—were identified as churn predictors based on deep iGaming expertise.
  • Machine learning–based churn prediction model: A supervised machine learning model was developed to predict player churn probability at an individual level. The model continuously improves as new behavioral data is fed back into the system, increasing accuracy over time.
  • Early identification of high-value players: In parallel, the model flagged players with strong VIP potential early in their lifecycle, enabling proactive engagement before value erosion occurred.
  • CRM integration for actionability: Prediction outputs were integrated directly into the client’s CRM workflows, enabling dashboards, campaign triggers, and performance tracking. This effectively created a multi channel CRM for iGaming, where predictive insights informed marketing actions across channels.
  • Campaign performance measurement: Marketing teams could now evaluate campaign effectiveness based on predicted churn risk and player value, rather than relying solely on surface-level engagement metrics.

Outcome

  • 10% reduction in player churn
    Early identification of at-risk players enabled timely, personalized interventions at a relatively low total cost of ownership.
  • 5% increase in average player value
    The early VIP identification capability helped the client focus retention efforts on high-potential players, improving monetization outcomes.
  • Improved CRM efficiency
    By embedding predictive insights into a multi-channel CRM for iGaming, marketing teams gained clearer visibility into which campaigns worked, for whom, and why.
  • Scalable, future-ready retention framework
    The machine learning–based approach reduced dependency on static rules and manual segmentation, allowing the retention strategy to evolve as player behavior changed.
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